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27 April 2022

EU’s energy transition faces critical minerals shortfall

Europe faces a shortfall of critical metals such as lithium and rare earths in the next 15 years, according to research by Belgium's KU Leuven.

By Energy Monitor Staff

For the EU to achieve its Green Deal pledge of reaching climate neutrality by 2050, the bloc will need 35 times more lithium and between seven and 26 times more rare earth minerals than it uses today, according to a recent study from Belgium’s Katholieke Universiteit (KU Leuven).

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The energy transition will also require 10–15% more annual supplies of zinc than the region uses today, 30% more aluminium, 35% more copper, 45% more silicon, 100% more nickel and 330% more cobalt – all essential resources for the production of electric vehicles and batteries, wind, solar and hydrogen technologies, and grid infrastructure.

Lithium is a key active material in the rechargeable batteries in electric cars. (Photo by Steve Morfi via Shutterstock)

Europe faces critical shortfalls in the next 15 years without more mined and refined metals supplying its clean energy system. Progressive steps will be needed to develop a long-term circular economy that avoids a repeat of Europe’s current fossil fuel dependency, states KU Leuven’s Metals for Clean Energy study, commissioned by Eurometaux, Europe’s association of metal producers.  

“Europe needs to decide urgently how it will bridge its looming supply gap for primary metals,” says Liesbet Gregoir, lead author at KU Leuven. “Without a decisive strategy, it risks new dependencies on unsustainable suppliers.”

However, by 2050, 40–75% of Europe’s clean energy metal requirements could be met by local recycling if the bloc invests heavily now and fixes bottlenecks. “Recycling is Europe’s best chance to improve its long-term self-sufficiency,” says the report. “It’s a step-up that our clean energy system will be based on permanent metals which can be recycled indefinitely, compared with today’s constant burning of fossil fuels.” 

The study notes that metals recycling, on average, saves between 35% and 95% of the CO2 compared with primary metals production. 

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What's the outlook for low carbon hydrogen?

The development of the hydrogen economy will support the fulfilment of decarbonization objectives, particularly for those sectors that are difficult to electrify, such as heavy industry, long-distance trucking, shipping, and aviation. GlobalData's Hydrogen Service tracks investment in the hydrogen sector, and provides you with:
  • A complete dataset of the low-carbon hydrogen projects across the globe.
  • Latest news across the hydrogen value chain.
  • Quarterly market analysis, with details of new projects, company activity and financial deals.
For more information, and to download sample pages from our quarterly market analysis, including a summary of the active and upcoming low-carbon hydrogen capacity by region, please enter your details.
by GlobalData
Enter your details here to receive your free Whitepaper.

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