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Exclusive: How ambitious are the climate targets of companies in the power industry?

Energy Monitor analysed the emissions reduction targets of 1,138 companies to find out which are leading the way, and which are lagging behind in their commitments.

By Isabeau van Halm, Saywah Mahmood, Mirela Petkova and Mengying Du

On Friday 22 April 2022, it was Earth Day. This year’s theme was ‘Invest in Our Planet’, calling on everyone including governments, citizens and companies, to contribute to tackling climate change.

“Unless businesses act now, climate change will ever more deeply damage economies, increase scarcity, drain profits and job prospects, and impact us all,” wrote Earth Day Network on its website.

Power plant emissions
Power plant emissions seen above residential blocks. (Photo by ldphotoro via Shutterstock)

Just 100 companies have been the source of more than 70% of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions since 1988, found a study by the international non-profit CDP in 2017. In that light, pushing the private sector to contribute to reducing emissions appears an essential part of climate action.

Unclear targets, empty promises and greenwashing

Most companies have some form of climate strategy in place. However, without clear guidelines and accountability, there is a risk of unclear targets, empty promises and greenwashing.

When investigating the climate strategies of 25 major global companies, the non-profit NewClimate Institute found that pledges made in these public strategies are often ambiguous, but concrete emission reduction commitments limited.

“All of the 25 companies assessed in this report pledge some form of zero-emission, net-zero or carbon-neutral target,” the research concludes. “But just 3 of the 25 companies […] clearly commit to deep decarbonisation of over 90% of their full value chain emissions by their respective net-zero and zero-emission target years.”

With regulation lacking, there is a growing need for companies to set clear and credible targets. This is where independent certification schemes such as the Science Based Targets initiative (SBTi) come in.

The SBTi is a collaboration between CDP, the UN Global Compact, the World Resources Institute and the World Wide Fund for Nature. More than 1,300 companies have joined with science-based climate targets that are in line with the 2015 Paris Agreement and approved by the SBTi.

Most ambitious climate targets

Energy Monitor analysed the GHG emissions reduction targets of companies in the SBTi database. Because it can be difficult to compare targets across companies and sectors, this analysis only includes companies with absolute targets. Absolute targets are relative to a baseline, whereas intensity targets – which were excluded – are relative to a unit or economic output; for example, a reduction of emissions per million dollars of profit.

The data shows that fewer companies are committed to scope 3 than to scope 1 and 2 emissions reductions, and that the targets set for scope 3 are less ambitious.

Scopes are categories of emissions set by the Greenhouse Gas Protocol, a framework for reporting GHG emissions from the private and public sectors. Scope 1 covers direct emissions from owned or controlled sources, scope 2 covers indirect emissions from the purchase of electricity, steam, heating or cooling, and scope 3 covers all other indirect emissions up and down the value chain.

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Setting scope 3 targets as a company is just as important, if not more, than setting targets for scopes 1 and 2, explains SBTi: “For the majority of sectors, the largest sources of a company’s emissions lie upstream and/or downstream of their core operation.”

Taking the average of reported targets in a sector indicates how ambitious it is compared with others. We calculated the average target by sector by averaging the percentage reduction target and the time frame between the base year and target year.

Based on 28 companies with absolute emission reduction targets, the power sector has committed to reducing emissions by 48.6% over 12 years. That is more ambitious than the average across all sectors, which computes to a reduction of 44.6% over 12 years.

Among companies in the power industry, TenneT Holding has the highest commitment with a reduction of emissions of 95% by 2030. The runner-up was National Grid with a pledge to reduce emissions by 80% by 2031.

On the other hand, UK Power Networks Holdings and ENEIDA.IO lag behind compared with other power companies with reductions targets of 25% by 2029 and 25% by 2030, respectively.

Future pathways

The SBTi also relates each target set by companies to future climate pathways. The trajectory can either be towards limiting global warming to 1.5°C, well below 2°C, or 2°C above pre-industrial levels by 2050. Most power companies have targets in line with a 1.5°C future.

In response to the urgent need to reduce emissions further, the SBTi will “only accept target submissions of scope 1 and 2 targets that are in line with a 1.5°C trajectory” as of 15 July 2022.

The rise in global temperature needs to stay below 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels by 2050 to avoid the most significant consequences of climate change. However, the latest report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change shows the current trajectory is likely to result in global warming of between 2.2 and 3.5°C.

In the power sector, this time considering both companies with absolute and intensity-based targets, 27 companies are in step with the goal of limiting global warming to 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels, while 19 companies would not be able to submit their targets under future SBTi norms.

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